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DETROIT

TIGERSDET

0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Mar 29 • 9:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

0-0  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Dillon Dingler
STARTING PITCHER

Dillon Dingler

#13 | Catcher
@
Jack Dreyer
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Dreyer

#86 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Dillon Dingler None-None -- -- -- --
Jack Dreyer None-None 3.86 -- 1.1 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.86
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.1
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
50%
📊
DODGERS
50%
TIGERS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Los Angeles)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

38.9%

Dodgers Cover

61.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

DET By 1-2 runs

16.0%

DET By 3-4 runs

10.2%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAD By 3-4 runs

16.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3.93
DETROIT
5.06
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
DETROIT
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.1
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2026 LAD @ DET 6 - 1
Aug 29, 2026 LAD @ DET 1 - 2
Aug 28, 2026 LAD @ DET 2 - 1
Mar 29, 2025 DET @ LAD 3 - 7
Mar 28, 2025 DET @ LAD 5 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.46
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.720
OPS
▲ .762
181
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +244.9% more
Los Angeles: 5.4 vs Detroit: 1.6
Home Runs (L5) +120.6% more
Los Angeles: 2.4 vs Detroit: 1.1
Strikeouts (L5) +40.3% more
Los Angeles: 11.6 vs Detroit: 8.3
Home Runs (Season) +12.7% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Detroit: 181.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 3.9 3
LAD Score 5.1 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.2 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.3 / 8.5 7.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 2.4 / 1.1 3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 11.6 / 8.3 13.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 15.7 / 14.7 19.0 / 8.0
Walks 5.4 / 1.6 4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
DET
LAD
DET
ML
56% 92-73
54% 86-73
48% 79-87
54% 87-73
ATS
59% 98-67
64% 101-58
43% 72-94
57% 91-69
TTL
48% 77-82-6
46% 69-81-9
44% 70-90-6
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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