TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
5-2 | Road
0
NEW YORK
METSNYM
3-3 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Mason Fluharty
#68 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Luis Torrens
#13 | Catcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Fluharty | None-None | 18.00 | -- | -- | -- |
| Luis Torrens | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
18.00
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JAYS
71%
METS
29%
BLUE JAYS
--
METS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TOR -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1-2 runs
19.2%
TOR By 3-4 runs
15.1%
NYM By 1-2 runs
17.4%
NYM By 3-4 runs
11.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
4.15
TORONTO
New York
3.6
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Toronto
4
TORONTO
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jays
Loss
71% Win Prob
B
Sim
Mets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jays (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.6
C
Sim
Mets (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.8
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 1, 2026
NYM @ TOR
3 - 9
Jun 30, 2026
NYM @ TOR
3 - 0
Jun 29, 2026
NYM @ TOR
1 - 2
Apr 6, 2025
TOR @ NYM
1 - 2
Apr 5, 2025
TOR @ NYM
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Toronto
TOR
vs
New York
NYM
162
Games Played
162
4.00
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.247
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.310
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.381
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.395
.692
OPS
▲
.705
152
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+25.3% more
Toronto: 9.8
vs
New York: 7.3
Total Bases (L5)
+8.5% more
Toronto: 14.6
vs
New York: 13.4
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.8%
Toronto: 24.7%
vs
New York: 23.9%
Errors (L5)
+78.0% more
New York: 0.9
vs
Toronto: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
4.2
0
NYM Score
3.6
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.3 / 9.8
4.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 0.7
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.7 / 9.1
10.0 / 1.0
Total Bases
13.4 / 14.6
10.0 / 6.0
Walks
3.6 / 2.8
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYM
TOR
NYM
TOR
ML
50%
79-80
46%
74-87
48%
76-83
50%
80-80
ATS
58%
93-66
56%
90-71
49%
78-81
49%
79-81
TTL
55%
80-66-13
51%
80-76-5
51%
74-72-13
45%
70-85-5
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