TAMPA BAY
RAYSTB
4-4 | Road
3
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
7-2 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Garrett Cleavinger
#60 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kumar Rocker
#80 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Cleavinger | None-None | 6.75 | -- | 0.2 | 2 |
| Kumar Rocker | None-None | 7.88 | -- | 5.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.75 Ldr
ERA
7.88
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
RAYS
22%
RANGERS
78%
RAYS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
74%
Under 0
26%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TB By 1-2 runs
11.4%
TB By 3-4 runs
6.0%
TEX By 1-2 runs
18.9%
TEX By 3-4 runs
19.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Tampa Bay
2.21
TAMPA BAY
Texas
4.93
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Tampa Bay
4
TAMPA BAY
Texas
6
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Win
78% Win Prob
B
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.7
B
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
TB @ TEX
6 - 8
Sep 5, 2026
TB @ TEX
6 - 3
Sep 4, 2026
TB @ TEX
7 - 6
Sep 3, 2026
TB @ TEX
0 - 6
Jul 30, 2026
TEX @ TB
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Tampa Bay
TB
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.54
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.242
.326
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.728
▲
OPS
.713
169
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+75.0% more
Texas: 1.6
vs
Tampa Bay: 0.9
Home Runs (Season)
+8.3% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
Tampa Bay: 169.0
Walks (L5)
+58.6% more
Tampa Bay: 3.0
vs
Texas: 1.3
Errors (L5)
+58.0% more
Tampa Bay: 0.9
vs
Texas: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TB Score
2.2
3
TEX Score
4.9
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.9
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
4.8 / 8.1
7.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 0.9
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 9.1
6.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
10.4 / 12.6
11.0 / 8.0
Walks
1.3 / 3.0
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TB
Advantage
101-64-0
(61.2%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-:
TEX
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TB
Advantage
(53.3%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TB
76-83-6
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: +0.6
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
TB
TEX
TB
ML
53%
86-76
58%
95-68
57%
91-70
58%
95-68
ATS
57%
92-70
60%
97-66
61%
98-63
55%
90-73
TTL
53%
78-70-14
47%
73-81-9
55%
81-66-14
51%
78-75-10
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Trump Surprises Clemens with Medal of Freedom Announcement at Te…
Yankees' Faithful Boo as Another Season Ends in Disappointment: …
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …