CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
2-8 | Road
2
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
4-6 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Sean Burke
#59 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tim Herrin
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Burke | None-None | 6.08 | -- | 3.0 | 4 |
| Tim Herrin | None-None | 2.45 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.08
ERA
Ldr 2.45
--
WHIP
--
3.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
27%
GUARDIANS
73%
WHITE SOX
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CLE -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CHW By 1-2 runs
13.7%
CHW By 3-4 runs
8.0%
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CLE By 3-4 runs
18.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.57
CHICAGO
Cleveland
4.51
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Guardians
Win
73% Win Prob
B
Sim
Guardians
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Guardians (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.9
D
Sim
Guardians (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
CLE @ CHW
9 - 3
Oct 5, 2026
CHW @ CLE
4 - 3
Oct 3, 2026
CHW @ CLE
3 - 0
Sep 16, 2026
CHW @ CLE
3 - 6
Sep 15, 2026
CHW @ CLE
6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Cleveland
CLE
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.826
▲
OPS
.696
1
Home Runs
▲
162
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+16100.0% more
Cleveland: 162.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+88.0% more
Cleveland: 1.1
vs
Chicago: 0.2
Home Runs (L5)
+71.0% more
Cleveland: 1.0
vs
Chicago: 0.3
Total Bases (L5)
+31.6% more
Cleveland: 8.5
vs
Chicago: 6.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
2.6
2
CLE Score
4.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.1 / 0.2
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.1 / 4.8
3.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 7.6
12.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
8.5 / 6.4
6.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.8 / 5.1
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CHW
CLE
CHW
ML
54%
87-74
49%
81-86
49%
80-82
56%
94-73
ATS
58%
93-68
59%
99-68
59%
95-67
56%
93-74
TTL
55%
88-71-2
58%
96-69-2
43%
69-90-2
51%
84-81-2
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