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DETROIT

TIGERSDET

9-6  |  Road

9
FINAL
Mon, Apr 14 • 7:40 PM ET
American Family Field
View Odds Details →

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

8-8  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Zach McKinstry
STARTING PITCHER

Zach McKinstry

#39 | Right Field
@
Brice Turang
STARTING PITCHER

Brice Turang

#2 | Second Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Zach McKinstry None-None -- -- -- --
Brice Turang None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
60%
📊
BREWERS
40%
TIGERS --
BREWERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Milwaukee)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 BrewersMIL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

41.2%

Brewers Cover

58.8%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

DET By 1-2 runs

16.6%

DET By 3-4 runs

10.9%

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.5%

MIL By 3-4 runs

16.0%

AI Model Projected Score
4.12
DETROIT
5.01
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
3
DETROIT
4
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Brewers Loss
40% Win Prob
D
Sim Brewers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Brewers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.9
C
Sim Brewers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.1
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 23, 2026 MIL @ DET 4 - 5
Apr 22, 2026 MIL @ DET 2 - 5
Apr 21, 2026 MIL @ DET 12 - 4
Apr 16, 2025 DET @ MIL 1 - 5
Apr 15, 2025 DET @ MIL 0 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Milwaukee MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.46
Runs / Game
▲ 5.14
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲ .258
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .341
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .403
.720
OPS
▲ .743
181 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +142.7% more
Milwaukee: 5.5 vs Detroit: 2.3
Errors (L5) +35.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.6 vs Detroit: 0.2
Strikeouts (L5) +22.0% more
Milwaukee: 7.3 vs Detroit: 6.0
Runs per Game (Season) +15.2% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Detroit: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 4.1 9
MIL Score 5.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.2 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.3 / 6.6 5.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 1.0 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.3 / 6.0 9.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 11.4 / 10.7 5.0 / 14.0
Walks 5.5 / 2.3 3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
DET
MIL
DET
ML
62% 101-61
54% 86-73
52% 84-78
54% 87-73
ATS
58% 94-68
64% 101-58
48% 78-84
57% 91-69
TTL
40% 62-92-8
46% 69-81-9
50% 77-77-8
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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