ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
6-10 | Road
12
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
4-11 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jeffrey Springs
#59 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Sean Burke
#59 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Springs | None-None | 4.50 | -- | 5.0 | 4 |
| Sean Burke | None-None | 7.56 | -- | 3.1 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.50 Ldr
ERA
7.56
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
3.1
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
62%
WHITE SOX
38%
ATHLETICS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
ATH By 1-2 runs
17.2%
ATH By 3-4 runs
11.7%
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.3%
CHW By 3-4 runs
15.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
3.89
ATHLETICS
Chicago
4.53
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
White Sox
Loss
38% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.6
D
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 12, 2026
ATH @ CHW
1 - 9
Jul 11, 2026
ATH @ CHW
0 - 1
Jul 10, 2026
ATH @ CHW
1 - 14
Apr 19, 2026
CHW @ ATH
7 - 4
Apr 18, 2026
CHW @ ATH
6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.719
OPS
▲
.826
194
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+39.2% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Athletics: 4.3
OPS (Season)
+10.7%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Athletics: 71.9%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+9.8%
Chicago: 41.5%
vs
Athletics: 31.7%
Batting Avg (Season)
+7.9%
Chicago: 32.4%
vs
Athletics: 24.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
3.9
12
CHW Score
4.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 1.3
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
5.7 / 7.3
6.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
0.3 / 0.5
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.5 / 8.9
4.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
7.3 / 10.8
10.0 / 25.0
Walks
3.7 / 4.5
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
ATH
CHW
ATH
ML
49%
81-86
59%
95-67
56%
94-73
54%
87-74
ATS
59%
99-68
52%
84-78
56%
93-74
50%
81-80
TTL
58%
96-69-2
54%
84-73-5
51%
84-81-2
42%
66-90-5
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