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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

7-10  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Apr 16 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

4-12  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Tyler Soderstrom
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Soderstrom

#21 | Left Field
@
Chase Meidroth
STARTING PITCHER

Chase Meidroth

#10 | Second Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tyler Soderstrom None-None -- -- -- --
Chase Meidroth None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
68%
📊
WHITE SOX
32%
ATHLETICS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.6
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Athletics)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

73.8%

White Sox Cover

26.2%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -2.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.1%

ATH By 3-4 runs

19.2%

CHW By 1-2 runs

11.9%

CHW By 3-4 runs

6.4%

AI Model Projected Score
5.71
ATHLETICS
3.16
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
ATHLETICS
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Athletics Win
68% Win Prob
C
Sim White Sox Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Athletics (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.6
D
Sim White Sox (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.9
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 12, 2026 ATH @ CHW 1 - 9
Jul 11, 2026 ATH @ CHW 0 - 1
Jul 10, 2026 ATH @ CHW 1 - 14
Apr 19, 2026 CHW @ ATH 7 - 4
Apr 18, 2026 CHW @ ATH 6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.31
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.719
OPS
▲ .826
194 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.5% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5) +61.5% more
Athletics: 1.3 vs Chicago: 0.5
Total Bases (L5) +47.3% more
Athletics: 15.5 vs Chicago: 8.2
Hits (L5) +37.3% more
Athletics: 9.2 vs Chicago: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 5.7 3
CHW Score 3.2 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 1.2 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 5.8 / 9.2 7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 1.3 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.0 / 8.6 4.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 8.2 / 15.5 13.0 / 11.0
Walks 3.5 / 4.3 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
ATH
CHW
ATH
ML
49% 81-86
59% 95-67
56% 94-73
54% 87-74
ATS
59% 99-68
52% 84-78
56% 93-74
50% 81-80
TTL
58% 96-69-2
54% 84-73-5
51% 84-81-2
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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