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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

8-10  |  Road

8
FINAL
Thu, Apr 17 • 2:10 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

4-13  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Tyler Soderstrom
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Soderstrom

#21 | Left Field
@
Davis Martin
STARTING PITCHER

Davis Martin

#65 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tyler Soderstrom None-None -- -- -- --
Davis Martin None-None 4.84 -- 5.1 3
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 4.84
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 5.1
-- K (Strikeouts) 3
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
72%
📊
WHITE SOX
28%
ATHLETICS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 47%
Under 0 53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Athletics)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

73.4%

White Sox Cover

26.6%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.1%

ATH By 3-4 runs

19.1%

CHW By 1-2 runs

12.1%

CHW By 3-4 runs

6.6%

AI Model Projected Score
5.46
ATHLETICS
2.96
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
ATHLETICS
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Athletics Win
72% Win Prob
B
Sim White Sox Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Athletics (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.5
D
Sim White Sox (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.4
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 12, 2026 ATH @ CHW 1 - 9
Jul 11, 2026 ATH @ CHW 0 - 1
Jul 10, 2026 ATH @ CHW 1 - 14
Apr 19, 2026 CHW @ ATH 7 - 4
Apr 18, 2026 CHW @ ATH 6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.31
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.719
OPS
▲ .826
194 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.5% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Total Bases (L5) +30.1% more
Athletics: 14.0 vs Chicago: 9.8
Hits (L5) +29.8% more
Athletics: 8.8 vs Chicago: 6.2
Walks (L5) +21.1% more
Athletics: 4.2 vs Chicago: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 5.5 8
CHW Score 3.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.9 / 0.8 1.0 / 2.0
Hits 6.2 / 8.8 4.0 / 13.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 0.9 0.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts 6.0 / 7.4 7.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 9.8 / 14.0 4.0 / 32.0
Walks 3.3 / 4.2 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
ATH
CHW
ATH
ML
49% 81-86
59% 95-67
56% 94-73
54% 87-74
ATS
59% 99-68
52% 84-78
56% 93-74
50% 81-80
TTL
58% 96-69-2
54% 84-73-5
51% 84-81-2
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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