CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
4-15 | Road
3
BOSTON
RED SOXBOS
11-10 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Edgar Quero
#26 | Catcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Garrett Whitlock
#22 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgar Quero | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Garrett Whitlock | None-None | 2.13 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
2.13
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
20%
RED SOX
80%
WHITE SOX
--
RED SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around BOS 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
CHW By 1-2 runs
18.4%
CHW By 3-4 runs
13.5%
BOS By 1-2 runs
18.5%
BOS By 3-4 runs
13.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.7
CHICAGO
Boston
3.72
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Boston
5
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Sox
Win
80% Win Prob
A
Sim
Red Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: 0.0
D
Sim
Red Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
CHW @ BOS
11 - 12
Aug 5, 2026
CHW @ BOS
0 - 4
Aug 4, 2026
CHW @ BOS
2 - 14
Jul 9, 2026
BOS @ CHW
2 - 1
Jul 8, 2026
BOS @ CHW
5 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Boston
BOS
1
Games Played
▲
2
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
1.00
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.117
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.159
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.250
.826
▲
OPS
.409
1
Home Runs
▲
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+155.0% more
Boston: 2.2
vs
Chicago: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+100.1% more
Boston: 17.8
vs
Chicago: 8.9
Hits (L5)
+53.9% more
Boston: 8.7
vs
Chicago: 5.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+49.6% more
Boston: 9.3
vs
Chicago: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.7
3
BOS Score
3.7
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.9
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.7 / 5.6
7.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
2.2 / 0.6
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.3 / 6.2
12.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
17.8 / 8.9
11.0 / 11.0
Walks
2.3 / 3.0
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
BOS
Advantage
87-77-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
BOS
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
BOS
74-86-4
O: 46.3% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
CHW
BOS
CHW
ML
50%
80-80
49%
81-86
47%
76-87
56%
94-73
ATS
58%
93-67
59%
99-68
48%
79-84
56%
93-74
TTL
46%
72-83-5
58%
96-69-2
47%
74-83-6
51%
84-81-2
Contextual Game News
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
White Sox Eye ALDS Sweep Over Guardians in Game 3 Showdown
MLB Division Series: All Four Could End Today for First Time Sin…
Sean Burke's Relief Masterclass Puts White Sox on Brink of ALCS