CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
6-20 | Road
10
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
13-13 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Edgar Quero
#26 | Catcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jeffrey Springs
#59 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgar Quero | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Jeffrey Springs | None-None | 6.04 | -- | 6.0 | 4 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
6.04
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
6.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
4
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
23%
ATHLETICS
77%
WHITE SOX
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
CHW By 1-2 runs
14.0%
CHW By 3-4 runs
8.2%
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.7%
ATH By 3-4 runs
18.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.53
CHICAGO
Athletics
4.39
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Athletics
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Athletics
Loss
77% Win Prob
B
Sim
Athletics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Athletics (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.9
C
Sim
Athletics (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.9
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 12, 2026
ATH @ CHW
1 - 9
Jul 11, 2026
ATH @ CHW
0 - 1
Jul 10, 2026
ATH @ CHW
1 - 14
Apr 19, 2026
CHW @ ATH
7 - 4
Apr 18, 2026
CHW @ ATH
6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Athletics
ATH
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.826
▲
OPS
.719
1
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+19300.0% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Hits (L5)
+25.9% more
Athletics: 10.0
vs
Chicago: 7.9
Total Bases (L5)
+20.2% more
Athletics: 15.4
vs
Chicago: 12.8
Home Runs (L5)
+14.0% more
Athletics: 1.1
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
2.5
10
ATH Score
4.4
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.9
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.0 / 7.9
6.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.0
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 8.4
8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
15.4 / 12.8
13.0 / 19.0
Walks
3.2 / 3.4
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
CHW
ATH
CHW
ML
59%
95-67
49%
81-86
54%
87-74
56%
94-73
ATS
52%
84-78
59%
99-68
50%
81-80
56%
93-74
TTL
54%
84-73-5
58%
96-69-2
42%
66-90-5
51%
84-81-2
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