CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
7-20 | Road
2
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
13-14 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Davis Martin
#65 | Starting Pitcher@
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Nick Kurtz
#16 | First Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Martin | None-None | 3.24 | -- | 6.0 | 5 |
| Nick Kurtz | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.24
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
6.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
5
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
27%
ATHLETICS
73%
WHITE SOX
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
58%
Under 0
42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
CHW By 1-2 runs
17.0%
CHW By 3-4 runs
11.5%
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.3%
ATH By 3-4 runs
15.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.42
CHICAGO
Athletics
4.11
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Athletics
Win
73% Win Prob
B
Sim
Athletics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Athletics (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
D
Sim
Athletics (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 12, 2026
ATH @ CHW
1 - 9
Jul 11, 2026
ATH @ CHW
0 - 1
Jul 10, 2026
ATH @ CHW
1 - 14
Apr 19, 2026
CHW @ ATH
7 - 4
Apr 18, 2026
CHW @ ATH
6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Athletics
ATH
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.826
▲
OPS
.719
1
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+19300.0% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+27.0% more
Athletics: 0.8
vs
Chicago: 0.6
Walks (L5)
+16.6% more
Athletics: 3.8
vs
Chicago: 3.3
Home Runs (L5)
+9.0% more
Athletics: 1.1
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.4
2
ATH Score
4.1
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.6 / 8.9
6.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.0
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 7.6
5.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
14.6 / 14.9
10.0 / 13.0
Walks
3.8 / 3.3
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
CHW
ATH
CHW
ML
59%
95-67
49%
81-86
54%
87-74
56%
94-73
ATS
52%
84-78
59%
99-68
50%
81-80
56%
93-74
TTL
54%
84-73-5
58%
96-69-2
42%
66-90-5
51%
84-81-2
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