ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
14-14 | Road
2
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
15-13 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jonah Heim
#15 | Catcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jake Burger
#21 | First Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Heim | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Jake Burger | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
46%
RANGERS
54%
ATHLETICS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
ATH By 1-2 runs
18.3%
ATH By 3-4 runs
13.3%
TEX By 1-2 runs
18.6%
TEX By 3-4 runs
13.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
3.8
ATHLETICS
Texas
3.89
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Texas
6
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
B
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.7
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
ATH @ TEX
9 - 2
Sep 1, 2026
ATH @ TEX
5 - 8
Aug 31, 2026
ATH @ TEX
1 - 8
Aug 16, 2026
TEX @ ATH
2 - 5
Aug 15, 2026
TEX @ ATH
5 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.242
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.719
▲
OPS
.713
194
▲
Home Runs
183
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+31.0% more
Texas: 1.2
vs
Athletics: 0.9
Home Runs (L5)
+43.4% more
Athletics: 1.1
vs
Texas: 0.6
Walks (L5)
+22.5% more
Athletics: 3.9
vs
Texas: 3.0
Home Runs (Season)
+5.7% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Texas: 183.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
3.8
2
TEX Score
3.9
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.2 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.2 / 7.8
6.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.1
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
6.6 / 7.0
8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
13.0 / 13.1
7.0 / 10.0
Walks
3.0 / 3.9
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
ATH
TEX
ATH
ML
53%
86-76
59%
95-67
57%
91-70
54%
87-74
ATS
57%
92-70
52%
84-78
61%
98-63
50%
81-80
TTL
53%
78-70-14
54%
84-73-5
55%
81-66-14
42%
66-90-5
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Cloud Production Secrets: NBC Sports, MLB, NHL, and Warner Bros.…
Trump Surprises Clemens with Medal of Freedom Announcement at Te…
Yankees' Season on the Brink: Max Fried Takes Mound for Game 3 D…
Sam McDowell, Flamethrowing All-Star and Inspiration for Cheers'…