ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
16-15 | Road
3
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
16-15 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jeffrey Springs
#59 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Latz
#67 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Springs | None-None | 4.98 | -- | 6.0 | 1 |
| Jacob Latz | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.98
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
6.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
50%
RANGERS
50%
ATHLETICS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
ATH By 1-2 runs
17.0%
ATH By 3-4 runs
11.4%
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.4%
TEX By 3-4 runs
15.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
3.57
ATHLETICS
Texas
4.29
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Texas
7
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.7
C
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.9
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
ATH @ TEX
9 - 2
Sep 1, 2026
ATH @ TEX
5 - 8
Aug 31, 2026
ATH @ TEX
1 - 8
Aug 16, 2026
TEX @ ATH
2 - 5
Aug 15, 2026
TEX @ ATH
5 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.242
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.719
▲
OPS
.713
194
▲
Home Runs
183
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+15.5% more
Texas: 10.3
vs
Athletics: 8.9
Errors (L5)
+10.0% more
Texas: 0.4
vs
Athletics: 0.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+8.1% more
Texas: 8.7
vs
Athletics: 8.0
Home Runs (L5)
+85.0% more
Athletics: 1.2
vs
Texas: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
3.6
3
TEX Score
4.3
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.3
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
10.3 / 8.9
3.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.2 / 1.2
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 8.0
9.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
12.8 / 13.8
3.0 / 8.0
Walks
2.6 / 4.4
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
ATH
TEX
ATH
ML
53%
86-76
59%
95-67
57%
91-70
54%
87-74
ATS
57%
92-70
52%
84-78
61%
98-63
50%
81-80
TTL
53%
78-70-14
54%
84-73-5
55%
81-66-14
42%
66-90-5
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