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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

10-24  |  Road

0
FINAL
Mon, May 5 • 7:40 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
View Odds Details →

KANSAS CITY

ROYALSKC

19-16  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Edgar Quero
STARTING PITCHER

Edgar Quero

#26 | Catcher
@
Daniel Lynch IV
STARTING PITCHER

Daniel Lynch IV

#41 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Edgar Quero None-None -- -- -- --
Daniel Lynch IV None-None 1.04 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 1.04
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
26%
📊
ROYALS
74%
WHITE SOX --
ROYALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (Kansas City)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 RoyalsKC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

27.7%

Royals Cover

72.3%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around KC -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)

CHW By 1-2 runs

12.5%

CHW By 3-4 runs

6.9%

KC By 1-2 runs

19.3%

KC By 3-4 runs

19.0%

AI Model Projected Score
2.72
CHICAGO
5.09
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
5
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Royals Win
74% Win Prob
B
Sim Royals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Royals (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.4
C
Sim Royals (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.8
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 24, 2026 CHW @ KC 9 - 1
Sep 23, 2026 CHW @ KC 4 - 5
Sep 22, 2026 CHW @ KC 14 - 11
Jun 28, 2026 KC @ CHW 5 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 KC @ CHW 1 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Kansas City KC
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.826 ▲
OPS
.718
1
Home Runs
▲ 170
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +16900.0% more
Kansas City: 170.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5) +277.0% more
Kansas City: 3.2 vs Chicago: 0.4
Total Bases (L5) +133.0% more
Kansas City: 23.1 vs Chicago: 9.9
Hits (L5) +51.0% more
Kansas City: 11.3 vs Chicago: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 2.7 0
KC Score 5.1 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.7 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 11.3 / 7.5 7.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 3.2 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 6.1 / 6.8 14.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 23.1 / 9.9 9.0 / 7.0
Walks 1.9 / 3.0 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0 (42.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
CHW
KC
CHW
ML
55% 89-72
49% 81-86
56% 90-70
56% 94-73
ATS
57% 91-70
59% 99-68
58% 93-67
56% 93-74
TTL
58% 90-64-7
58% 96-69-2
54% 83-70-7
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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