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DETROIT

TIGERSDET

22-13  |  Road

8
FINAL
Wed, May 7 • 8:40 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

6-28  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Brenan Hanifee
STARTING PITCHER

Brenan Hanifee

#75 | Relief Pitcher
@
Zach Agnos
STARTING PITCHER

Zach Agnos

#36 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Brenan Hanifee None-None 1.45 -- 1.0 1
Zach Agnos None-None 0.00 -- 2.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
1.45 ERA Ldr 0.00
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 2.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
89%
📊
ROCKIES
11%
TIGERS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 63%
Under 0 38%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Detroit)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

73.5%

Rockies Cover

26.5%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1-2 runs

19.1%

DET By 3-4 runs

19.2%

COL By 1-2 runs

12.1%

COL By 3-4 runs

6.5%

AI Model Projected Score
5.34
DETROIT
2.83
COLORADO
Simulated Score
2
DETROIT
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Win
89% Win Prob
A
Sim Rockies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.5
B
Sim Rockies (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.2
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2026 COL @ DET 1 - 8
Sep 12, 2026 COL @ DET 7 - 11
Sep 11, 2026 COL @ DET 2 - 6
May 8, 2025 DET @ COL 11 - 1
May 7, 2025 DET @ COL 8 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.46
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.720
OPS
▲ .739
181 ▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +88.9% more
Detroit: 2.7 vs Colorado: 0.3
Total Bases (L5) +51.6% more
Detroit: 21.2 vs Colorado: 10.2
Hits (L5) +41.9% more
Detroit: 11.7 vs Colorado: 6.8
Strikeouts (L5) +39.0% more
Detroit: 10.4 vs Colorado: 6.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 5.3 8
COL Score 2.8 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.4 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.8 / 11.7 13.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 0.3 / 2.7 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 6.4 / 10.4 9.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 10.2 / 21.2 23.0 / 13.0
Walks 2.7 / 2.6 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
DET
COL
DET
ML
60% 97-64
54% 86-73
55% 88-73
54% 87-73
ATS
60% 97-64
64% 101-58
52% 83-78
57% 91-69
TTL
60% 93-62-6
46% 69-81-9
50% 77-78-6
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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