TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
18-21 | Road
10
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
26-13 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob deGrom
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Holton
#87 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | None-None | 2.72 | -- | 5.0 | 10 |
| Tyler Holton | None-None | 3.12 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.72 Ldr
ERA
3.12
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
10 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
30%
TIGERS
70%
RANGERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
TEX By 1-2 runs
18.3%
TEX By 3-4 runs
13.4%
DET By 1-2 runs
18.5%
DET By 3-4 runs
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
4.62
TEXAS
Detroit
4.67
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Texas
3
TEXAS
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
70% Win Prob
B
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: 0.0
B
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.3
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 5, 2026
DET @ TEX
6 - 3
Jul 4, 2026
DET @ TEX
3 - 0
Jul 2, 2026
DET @ TEX
4 - 10
May 3, 2026
TEX @ DET
1 - 7
May 2, 2026
TEX @ DET
1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.242
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.713
OPS
▲
.720
183
▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+96.6% more
Detroit: 11.1
vs
Texas: 5.6
Total Bases (L5)
+64.9% more
Detroit: 13.3
vs
Texas: 8.1
Home Runs (L5)
+47.0% more
Detroit: 0.8
vs
Texas: 0.3
Hits (L5)
+42.4% more
Detroit: 9.1
vs
Texas: 6.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
4.6
10
DET Score
4.7
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.1 / 6.4
7.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 0.3
2.0 / 5.0
Strikeouts
11.1 / 5.6
9.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
13.3 / 8.1
15.0 / 26.0
Walks
1.7 / 3.4
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
TEX
DET
TEX
ML
54%
86-73
53%
86-76
54%
87-73
57%
91-70
ATS
64%
101-58
57%
92-70
57%
91-69
61%
98-63
TTL
46%
69-81-9
53%
78-70-14
46%
69-81-10
55%
81-66-14
Contextual Game News
Trump Surprises Clemens with Medal of Freedom Announcement at Te…
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
LSU's Defense Dominates Early, But Real Test Awaits
Diamondbacks Honor Virahonda and Hagaman as Top Minor Leaguers A…
Dodgers Predicted to Re-Sign $32M Ace Tarik Skubal, Keeping Rota…