PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIESPHI
22-16 | Road
7
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
23-15 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Edmundo Sosa
#33 | Left Field@
STARTING PITCHER
Joey Cantillo
#54 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmundo Sosa | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Joey Cantillo | None-None | 4.12 | -- | 1.1 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
4.12
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
3
AI Model Win Probability
PHILLIES
47%
GUARDIANS
53%
PHILLIES
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
56%
Under 0
44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around PHI -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1-2 runs
19.7%
PHI By 3-4 runs
16.9%
CLE By 1-2 runs
15.6%
CLE By 3-4 runs
9.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
5.37
PHILADELPHIA
Cleveland
4.11
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Phillies
Win
47% Win Prob
D
Sim
Guardians
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Phillies (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.3
B
Sim
Guardians (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 24, 2026
CLE @ PHI
3 - 1
May 23, 2026
CLE @ PHI
0 - 3
May 22, 2026
CLE @ PHI
1 - 0
May 11, 2025
PHI @ CLE
3 - 0
May 10, 2025
PHI @ CLE
7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Philadelphia
PHI
vs
Cleveland
CLE
2
Games Played
▲
162
3.50
Runs / Game
▲
4.19
.247
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.286
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.316
.438
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.724
▲
OPS
.696
3
Home Runs
▲
162
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+19.6% more
Philadelphia: 10.0
vs
Cleveland: 8.0
Slugging Pct (Season)
+5.8%
Philadelphia: 43.8%
vs
Cleveland: 38.0%
OPS (Season)
+2.8%
Philadelphia: 72.4%
vs
Cleveland: 69.6%
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.8%
Philadelphia: 24.7%
vs
Cleveland: 23.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
5.4
7
CLE Score
4.1
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.3 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.5 / 9.0
4.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 1.1
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 10.0
7.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
15.6 / 13.6
5.0 / 19.0
Walks
5.3 / 2.4
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
89-76-0
(53.9%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
CLE
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7%
Total +/-: +0.4
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
PHI
CLE
PHI
ML
54%
87-74
59%
97-67
49%
80-82
49%
80-84
ATS
58%
93-68
65%
107-57
59%
95-67
51%
83-81
TTL
55%
88-71-2
57%
88-67-9
43%
69-90-2
51%
78-76-9
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