CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
27-22 | Road
3
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
33-18 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Hunter Gaddis
#33 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Holton
#87 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Gaddis | None-None | 0.86 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
| Tyler Holton | None-None | 3.47 | -- | 1.2 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.86 Ldr
ERA
3.47
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.2
2
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
40%
TIGERS
60%
GUARDIANS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CLE By 3-4 runs
16.3%
DET By 1-2 runs
16.3%
DET By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
5.4
CLEVELAND
Detroit
4.39
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Win
40% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
DET @ CLE
2 - 3
Sep 5, 2026
DET @ CLE
6 - 0
Sep 4, 2026
DET @ CLE
6 - 7
Aug 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
0 - 3
Aug 12, 2026
CLE @ DET
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.241
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.696
OPS
▲
.720
162
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+43.0% more
Cleveland: 1.0
vs
Detroit: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+22.2% more
Cleveland: 12.7
vs
Detroit: 9.9
Hits (L5)
+12.5% more
Cleveland: 7.8
vs
Detroit: 6.9
Errors (L5)
+41.0% more
Detroit: 0.6
vs
Cleveland: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
5.4
3
DET Score
4.4
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.9 / 7.8
6.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 1.0
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.1 / 9.7
7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
9.9 / 12.7
12.0 / 13.0
Walks
3.2 / 2.9
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CLE
DET
CLE
ML
54%
86-73
54%
87-74
54%
87-73
49%
80-82
ATS
64%
101-58
58%
93-68
57%
91-69
59%
95-67
TTL
46%
69-81-9
55%
88-71-2
46%
69-81-10
43%
69-90-2
Contextual Game News
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Trump to Honor Roger Clemens with Presidential Medal of Freedom
Trump Surprises Clemens with Medal of Freedom Announcement at Te…
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …