TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
25-26 | Road
1
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
15-35 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cole Winn
#60 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Sean Burke
#59 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Winn | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Sean Burke | None-None | 4.33 | -- | 6.0 | 6 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
4.33
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 6
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
69%
WHITE SOX
31%
RANGERS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.7%
TEX By 3-4 runs
18.1%
CHW By 1-2 runs
14.1%
CHW By 3-4 runs
8.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
4.19
TEXAS
Chicago
2.36
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Texas
3
TEXAS
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
69% Win Prob
C
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.8
D
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.6
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 26, 2026
TEX @ CHW
4 - 10
Aug 25, 2026
TEX @ CHW
7 - 11
Aug 24, 2026
TEX @ CHW
11 - 2
Jul 22, 2026
CHW @ TEX
4 - 2
Jul 21, 2026
CHW @ TEX
0 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.15
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.713
OPS
▲
.826
183
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.5% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+8.5% more
Texas: 7.3
vs
Chicago: 6.7
Errors (L5)
+97.0% more
Chicago: 1.3
vs
Texas: 0.4
Walks (L5)
+63.6% more
Chicago: 4.1
vs
Texas: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
4.2
1
CHW Score
2.4
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.3 / 0.4
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.2 / 6.6
8.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 1.1
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
6.7 / 7.3
7.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
12.7 / 11.2
8.0 / 5.0
Walks
4.1 / 2.5
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
TEX
CHW
TEX
ML
49%
81-86
53%
86-76
56%
94-73
57%
91-70
ATS
59%
99-68
57%
92-70
56%
93-74
61%
98-63
TTL
58%
96-69-2
53%
78-70-14
51%
84-81-2
55%
81-66-14
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