VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
29-12-3 | Road
2
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
26-16-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | None-None | 3.15 | 0.893 | -- |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 2.00 | 0.935 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.15
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.893
Save %
Ldr 0.935
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
60%
HURRICANES
40%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
78%
Under 0
22%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
VGK By 1 goal
15.4%
VGK By 2-3 goals
14.3%
CAR By 1 goal
19.0%
CAR By 2-3 goals
23.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
2.37
VEGAS
Carolina
2.8
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
40% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
B
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
B
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 14, 2026
CAR @ VGK
3 - 0
Jun 11, 2026
VGK @ CAR
2 - 4
Jun 9, 2026
CAR @ VGK
5 - 3
Jun 6, 2026
CAR @ VGK
4 - 5
Jun 4, 2026
VGK @ CAR
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.4% more
Carolina: 33.0
vs
Vegas: 29.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.7%
Carolina: 52.8%
vs
Vegas: 49.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+34.2% more
Vegas: 4.0
vs
Carolina: 2.6
Power Play % (L5)
+25.8%
Vegas: 37.6%
vs
Carolina: 11.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
2.4
2
CAR Score
2.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.3 / 14.4
14.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
52.8 / 49.1
61.2 / 38.8
Hits
17.9 / 19.5
18.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
11.8 / 37.6
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
33.0 / 29.9
28.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
2.6 / 4.0
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
VGK
CAR
VGK
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
ATS
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
TTL
0%
0-5
25%
1-3
20%
1-4
50%
2-2
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