BALTIMORE
ORIOLESBAL
15-32 | Road
8
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
24-25 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andrew Kittredge
#39 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Kittredge | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 2.35 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
2.35
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ORIOLES
100%
BREWERS
0%
ORIOLES
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
BAL By 1-2 runs
16.6%
BAL By 3-4 runs
11.0%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.5%
MIL By 3-4 runs
16.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Baltimore
2.46
BALTIMORE
Milwaukee
3.33
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Baltimore
4
BALTIMORE
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.9
D
Sim
Brewers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
MIL @ BAL
3 - 0
Sep 19, 2026
MIL @ BAL
1 - 0
Sep 18, 2026
MIL @ BAL
6 - 5
May 21, 2025
BAL @ MIL
8 - 4
May 20, 2025
BAL @ MIL
2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Baltimore
BAL
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
161
Games Played
▲
162
4.46
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.711
OPS
▲
.743
199
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+25.0% more
Milwaukee: 10.0
vs
Baltimore: 8.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+15.2% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Baltimore: 4.5
OPS (Season)
+3.2%
Milwaukee: 74.3%
vs
Baltimore: 71.1%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+2.7%
Milwaukee: 34.1%
vs
Baltimore: 31.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BAL Score
2.5
8
MIL Score
3.3
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 1.0
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.2 / 8.1
7.0 / 14.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.1
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.0 / 8.0
10.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
12.6 / 13.3
11.0 / 20.0
Walks
2.5 / 4.5
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BAL
79-82-0
(49.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BAL
Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
MIL
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
BAL
MIL
BAL
ML
62%
101-61
53%
83-73
52%
84-78
57%
90-69
ATS
58%
94-68
61%
95-60-1
48%
78-84
57%
90-68-1
TTL
40%
62-92-8
54%
81-70-5
50%
77-77-8
51%
78-75-6
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…