SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
22-13 | Road
2
CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
21-14 | Home
9
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Landen Roupp
#65 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Gavin Hollowell
#46 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landen Roupp | None-None | 4.89 | -- | 5.0 | 4 |
| Gavin Hollowell | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.89
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
2.0
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
0%
CUBS
100%
GIANTS
--
CUBS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
SF By 1-2 runs
18.6%
SF By 3-4 runs
13.9%
CHC By 1-2 runs
18.3%
CHC By 3-4 runs
13.3%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
4.87
SAN FRANCISCO
Chicago
4.77
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
San Francisco
5
SAN FRANCISCO
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Giants
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Giants
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Giants (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
D
Sim
Giants (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 14, 2026
CHC @ SF
1 - 5
Jun 13, 2026
CHC @ SF
6 - 1
Jun 12, 2026
CHC @ SF
5 - 1
Jun 7, 2026
SF @ CHC
2 - 1
Jun 6, 2026
SF @ CHC
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco
SF
vs
Chicago
CHC
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.13
▲
Runs / Game
0.50
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.129
.306
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.145
.706
▲
OPS
.374
178
▲
Home Runs
0
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+100.0% more
San Francisco: 178.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+87.9% more
San Francisco: 4.1
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Errors (L5)
+82.1% more
San Francisco: 1.1
vs
Chicago: 0.2
OPS (Season)
+33.2%
San Francisco: 70.6%
vs
Chicago: 37.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
4.9
2
CHC Score
4.8
9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 1.1
0.0 / 4.0
Hits
8.1 / 8.6
9.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 1.6
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.9 / 8.2
10.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
14.0 / 15.2
17.0 / 10.0
Walks
2.5 / 2.3
0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
CHC
Advantage
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHC
SF
CHC
SF
ML
58%
93-68
49%
79-81
51%
82-79
53%
85-75
ATS
61%
97-63-1
62%
100-60
47%
75-85-1
52%
83-77
TTL
52%
81-74-6
55%
82-68-10
46%
72-83-6
46%
68-81-11
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