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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

0-0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, May 4 • 7:00 PM ET
Canada Life Centre
View Odds Details →

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

0-0-0  |  Home

4
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
📊
JETS
100%
BLUES --
JETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (St. Louis)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 JetsWPG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

56.6%

Jets Cover

43.4%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

STL By 1 goal

18.7%

STL By 2-3 goals

22.3%

WPG By 1 goal

15.9%

WPG By 2-3 goals

15.2%

AI Model Projected Score
3.01
ST. LOUIS
2.68
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
3
ST. LOUIS
2
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blues Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blues (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim Blues (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 WPG @ STL 3 - 2
Mar 15, 2026 STL @ WPG 2 - 3
Jan 20, 2026 STL @ WPG 1 - 3
Dec 17, 2025 WPG @ STL 0 - 1
May 4, 2025 STL @ WPG 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +22.5% more
St. Louis: 15.6 vs Winnipeg: 12.1
Takeaways (L5) +14.5% more
Winnipeg: 3.5 vs St. Louis: 3.0
Power Play % (L5) +6.3%
Winnipeg: 16.6% vs St. Louis: 10.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 3.0 3
WPG Score 2.7 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.1 / 15.6 24.0 / 29.0
Faceoff % 50.7 / 49.7 44.2 / 55.8
Hits 40.5 / 38.2 73.0 / 49.0
Power Play % 16.6 / 10.3 50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 25.5 / 23.9 47.0 / 29.0
Takeaways 3.5 / 3.0 7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
82%MONEY18%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
STL
WPG
STL
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
ATS
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
100% 4-0
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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