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WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

0-0-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Fri, May 2 • 8:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

0-0-0  |  Home

5
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
📊
BLUES
0%
JETS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (St. Louis)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

32.3%

Blues Cover

67.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

WPG By 1 goal

12.6%

WPG By 2-3 goals

10.0%

STL By 1 goal

19.7%

STL By 2-3 goals

28.7%

AI Model Projected Score
2.58
WINNIPEG
3.5
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
3
WINNIPEG
2
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jets Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim Jets (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 WPG @ STL 3 - 2
Mar 15, 2026 STL @ WPG 2 - 3
Jan 20, 2026 STL @ WPG 1 - 3
Dec 17, 2025 WPG @ STL 0 - 1
May 4, 2025 STL @ WPG 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +16.7% more
St. Louis: 15.8 vs Winnipeg: 13.6
Power Play % (L5) +7.2%
St. Louis: 15.5% vs Winnipeg: 8.3%
Faceoff % (L5) +6.9%
St. Louis: 53.8% vs Winnipeg: 46.8%
Shots on Goal (L5) +16.0% more
Winnipeg: 26.7 vs St. Louis: 22.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 2.6 2
STL Score 3.5 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.8 / 13.6 15.0 / 9.0
Faceoff % 53.8 / 46.8 41.5 / 58.5
Hits 39.3 / 40.7 36.0 / 40.0
Power Play % 15.5 / 8.3 0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 22.4 / 26.7 27.0 / 23.0
Takeaways 3.6 / 4.2 2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
78%MONEY22%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
WPG
STL
WPG
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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