Home / NHL Projections NHL / Blues @ Jets STL @ WPG

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

0-0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Apr 30 • 9:30 PM ET
Canada Life Centre
View Odds Details →

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

0-0-0  |  Home

5
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
📊
JETS
0%
BLUES --
JETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Winnipeg)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 JetsWPG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

45.4%

Jets Cover

54.6%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)

STL By 1 goal

16.4%

STL By 2-3 goals

16.2%

WPG By 1 goal

18.4%

WPG By 2-3 goals

21.2%

AI Model Projected Score
2.76
ST. LOUIS
2.99
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
3
ST. LOUIS
2
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jets (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim Blues (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 WPG @ STL 3 - 2
Mar 15, 2026 STL @ WPG 2 - 3
Jan 20, 2026 STL @ WPG 1 - 3
Dec 17, 2025 WPG @ STL 0 - 1
May 4, 2025 STL @ WPG 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +12.0% more
Winnipeg: 27.0 vs St. Louis: 24.1
Power Play % (L5) +10.8%
St. Louis: 23.2% vs Winnipeg: 12.4%
Blocked Shots (L5) +9.4% more
St. Louis: 14.7 vs Winnipeg: 13.4
Faceoff % (L5) +3.5%
St. Louis: 52.2% vs Winnipeg: 48.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 2.8 3
WPG Score 3.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.4 / 14.7 14.0 / 18.0
Faceoff % 48.7 / 52.2 43.1 / 56.9
Hits 39.1 / 38.9 44.0 / 40.0
Power Play % 1239.0 / 2320.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.0 / 24.1 26.0 / 19.0
Takeaways 4.3 / 4.3 4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
68%MONEY32%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
STL
WPG
STL
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
ATS
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
100% 4-0
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 6 hours, 6 minutes ago
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
chicago_suntimes 1 day, 17 hours ago
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming
mymotherlode 1 day, 18 hours ago
Red Wings' Power Play Woes Sink Them Against Jets
mlive 4 days ago
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points
yardbarker 4 days, 17 hours ago