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WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

0-0-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Apr 27 • 1:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

0-0-0  |  Home

5
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
📊
BLUES
0%
JETS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (St. Louis)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

48.8%

Blues Cover

51.2%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

WPG By 1 goal

17.2%

WPG By 2-3 goals

18.0%

STL By 1 goal

17.7%

STL By 2-3 goals

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
2.99
WINNIPEG
3.05
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
3
WINNIPEG
2
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jets Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim Jets (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 WPG @ STL 3 - 2
Mar 15, 2026 STL @ WPG 2 - 3
Jan 20, 2026 STL @ WPG 1 - 3
Dec 17, 2025 WPG @ STL 0 - 1
May 4, 2025 STL @ WPG 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +16.2%
St. Louis: 34.8% vs Winnipeg: 18.6%
Faceoff % (L5) +6.2%
St. Louis: 53.7% vs Winnipeg: 47.6%
Takeaways (L5) +35.9% more
Winnipeg: 5.5 vs St. Louis: 3.5
Blocked Shots (L5) +16.7% more
Winnipeg: 14.5 vs St. Louis: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 3.0 1
STL Score 3.1 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.1 / 14.5 20.0 / 11.0
Faceoff % 53.7 / 47.6 49.1 / 50.9
Hits 38.4 / 38.6 40.0 / 40.0
Power Play % 3480.0 / 1859.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 24.2 / 25.0 24.0 / 31.0
Takeaways 3.5 / 5.5 6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
79%MONEY21%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
WPG
STL
WPG
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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