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WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

0-0-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Thu, Apr 24 • 9:30 PM ET
Enterprise Center
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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

0-0-0  |  Home

7
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
📊
BLUES
100%
JETS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Winnipeg)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

52.4%

Blues Cover

47.6%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)

WPG By 1 goal

18.0%

WPG By 2-3 goals

20.0%

STL By 1 goal

16.9%

STL By 2-3 goals

17.4%

AI Model Projected Score
2.97
WINNIPEG
2.85
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
3
WINNIPEG
2
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jets Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jets (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim Jets (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 WPG @ STL 3 - 2
Mar 15, 2026 STL @ WPG 2 - 3
Jan 20, 2026 STL @ WPG 1 - 3
Dec 17, 2025 WPG @ STL 0 - 1
May 4, 2025 STL @ WPG 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +20.7% more
Winnipeg: 28.0 vs St. Louis: 22.2
Takeaways (L5) +20.3% more
Winnipeg: 4.7 vs St. Louis: 3.8
Power Play % (L5) +18.1%
St. Louis: 33.5% vs Winnipeg: 15.4%
Faceoff % (L5) +1.9%
St. Louis: 51.9% vs Winnipeg: 50.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 3.0 2
STL Score 2.9 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.2 / 13.8 10.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 51.9 / 50.0 57.4 / 42.6
Hits 30.6 / 28.4 54.0 / 59.0
Power Play % 33.5 / 15.4 37.5 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 22.2 / 28.0 28.0 / 19.0
Takeaways 3.8 / 4.7 3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
54%MONEY46%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
WPG
STL
WPG
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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