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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

0-0-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Mon, Apr 21 • 7:30 PM ET
Canada Life Centre
View Odds Details →

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

0-0-0  |  Home

2
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
📊
JETS
0%
BLUES --
JETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Winnipeg)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 JetsWPG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

41.9%

Jets Cover

58.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)

STL By 1 goal

15.5%

STL By 2-3 goals

14.4%

WPG By 1 goal

18.9%

WPG By 2-3 goals

23.2%

AI Model Projected Score
2.66
ST. LOUIS
3.07
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
3
ST. LOUIS
2
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jets (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim Blues (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 WPG @ STL 3 - 2
Mar 15, 2026 STL @ WPG 2 - 3
Jan 20, 2026 STL @ WPG 1 - 3
Dec 17, 2025 WPG @ STL 0 - 1
May 4, 2025 STL @ WPG 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +38.8% more
Winnipeg: 31.0 vs St. Louis: 22.3
Takeaways (L5) +22.8% more
Winnipeg: 5.1 vs St. Louis: 4.2
Blocked Shots (L5) +20.4% more
St. Louis: 17.2 vs Winnipeg: 13.7
Hits (L5) +16.8% more
St. Louis: 31.3 vs Winnipeg: 26.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 2.7 1
WPG Score 3.1 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.7 / 17.2 14.0 / 5.0
Faceoff % 48.2 / 54.7 53.7 / 46.3
Hits 26.1 / 31.3 33.0 / 29.0
Power Play % 23.1 / 37.7 0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 31.0 / 22.3 22.0 / 22.0
Takeaways 5.1 / 4.2 4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
66%MONEY34%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
STL
WPG
STL
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
ATS
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
100% 4-0
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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