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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

0-0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Apr 19 • 6:00 PM ET
Canada Life Centre
View Odds Details →

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

0-0-0  |  Home

5
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
📊
JETS
0%
BLUES --
JETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Winnipeg)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 JetsWPG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

41.1%

Jets Cover

58.9%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)

STL By 1 goal

15.3%

STL By 2-3 goals

14.1%

WPG By 1 goal

19.0%

WPG By 2-3 goals

23.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2.74
ST. LOUIS
3.19
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
3
ST. LOUIS
2
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jets (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim Blues (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 WPG @ STL 3 - 2
Mar 15, 2026 STL @ WPG 2 - 3
Jan 20, 2026 STL @ WPG 1 - 3
Dec 17, 2025 WPG @ STL 0 - 1
May 4, 2025 STL @ WPG 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +43.7% more
Winnipeg: 4.7 vs St. Louis: 3.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +34.1% more
Winnipeg: 33.5 vs St. Louis: 25.0
Hits (L5) +10.0% more
Winnipeg: 22.6 vs St. Louis: 20.5
Blocked Shots (L5) +21.2% more
St. Louis: 17.9 vs Winnipeg: 14.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 2.7 3
WPG Score 3.2 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.1 / 17.9 13.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 51.0 / 53.4 42.6 / 57.4
Hits 22.6 / 20.5 33.0 / 53.0
Power Play % 22.1 / 23.2 25.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal 33.5 / 25.0 26.0 / 17.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 3.3 6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
38%MONEY62%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
STL
WPG
STL
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
ATS
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
100% 4-0
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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