PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
33-37-9 | Road
3
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
43-30-6 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ivan Fedotov
#82 | G@
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Fedotov | None-None | 3.89 | 0.840 | -- |
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.89
GAA
--
0.840
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
SENATORS
0%
FLYERS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
PHI By 1 goal
11.6%
PHI By 2-3 goals
8.7%
OTT By 1 goal
19.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
30.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
2.83
PHILADELPHIA
Ottawa
3.92
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Flyers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
OTT @ PHI
2 - 1
Nov 8, 2025
OTT @ PHI
3 - 2
Oct 23, 2025
PHI @ OTT
1 - 2
Apr 13, 2025
PHI @ OTT
3 - 4
Mar 11, 2025
OTT @ PHI
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+24.8% more
Ottawa: 31.0
vs
Philadelphia: 24.9
Hits (L5)
+13.0% more
Ottawa: 23.9
vs
Philadelphia: 21.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.8%
Ottawa: 51.2%
vs
Philadelphia: 47.3%
Takeaways (L5)
+29.8% more
Philadelphia: 5.9
vs
Ottawa: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
2.8
3
OTT Score
3.9
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.4 / 16.5
14.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
51.2 / 47.3
53.8 / 46.2
Hits
23.9 / 21.1
29.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
10.8 / 17.5
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.0 / 24.9
25.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 5.9
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
PHI
OTT
PHI
ML
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
TTL
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
NFL Trade Shocker: Ravens Land Pro Bowl Lineman Cam Jurgens from…