TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
49-26-4 | Road
4
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
47-27-5 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jack Roslovic
#96 | Center@
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roslovic | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
TOR By 1 goal
12.5%
TOR By 2-3 goals
9.9%
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
28.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
3.07
TORONTO
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
CAR @ TOR
4 - 3
Dec 4, 2025
TOR @ CAR
5 - 1
Nov 9, 2025
CAR @ TOR
5 - 4
Apr 13, 2025
TOR @ CAR
4 - 1
Feb 22, 2025
CAR @ TOR
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+98.4% more
Carolina: 6.4
vs
Toronto: 3.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.6% more
Carolina: 31.9
vs
Toronto: 29.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.3%
Carolina: 55.3%
vs
Toronto: 50.0%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+46.1% more
Toronto: 21.2
vs
Carolina: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
3.1
4
CAR Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.4 / 21.2
5.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
55.3 / 50.0
43.4 / 56.6
Hits
13.0 / 23.5
27.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
3.8 / 15.2
25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.9 / 29.1
26.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
6.4 / 3.2
8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
TOR
CAR
TOR
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
0%
0-4
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
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