EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
46-28-5 | Road
4
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
55-21-4 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Stuart Skinner
#74 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Stuart Skinner | None-None | 1.00 | 0.944 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.944
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
JETS
0%
OILERS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
EDM By 1 goal
9.8%
EDM By 2-3 goals
6.6%
WPG By 1 goal
19.4%
WPG By 2-3 goals
33.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
1.52
EDMONTON
Winnipeg
2.92
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.4
D
Sim
Oilers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
EDM @ WPG
4 - 3
Dec 29, 2025
EDM @ WPG
3 - 1
Dec 6, 2025
WPG @ EDM
2 - 6
Sep 26, 2025
WPG @ EDM
0 - 4
Sep 23, 2025
EDM @ WPG
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+77.6% more
Winnipeg: 31.6
vs
Edmonton: 17.8
Power Play % (L5)
+6.1%
Winnipeg: 24.8%
vs
Edmonton: 18.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+8.2% more
Edmonton: 5.7
vs
Winnipeg: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
1.5
4
WPG Score
2.9
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.7 / 12.7
17.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
51.3 / 50.6
56.5 / 43.5
Hits
31.6 / 17.8
19.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
24.8 / 18.6
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
33.4 / 32.4
18.0 / 39.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 5.7
6.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
EDM
WPG
EDM
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
