NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
34-33-11 | Road
3
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
32-37-9 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Marcus Hogberg
#50 | G@
GOALTENDER
Egor Zamula
#5 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Hogberg | None-None | 2.85 | 0.864 | -- |
| Egor Zamula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.85
GAA
--
0.864
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
FLYERS
100%
ISLANDERS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
NYI By 1 goal
18.0%
NYI By 2-3 goals
20.1%
PHI By 1 goal
16.9%
PHI By 2-3 goals
17.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3.33
NEW YORK
Philadelphia
3.2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Islanders (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
PHI @ NYI
4 - 1
Jan 26, 2026
NYI @ PHI
4 - 0
Nov 28, 2025
PHI @ NYI
4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025
NYI @ PHI
3 - 4
Oct 2, 2025
NYI @ PHI
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.6% more
New York: 32.3
vs
Philadelphia: 26.3
Takeaways (L5)
+14.0% more
New York: 5.1
vs
Philadelphia: 4.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.8%
New York: 59.3%
vs
Philadelphia: 49.5%
Power Play % (L5)
+8.9%
New York: 22.7%
vs
Philadelphia: 13.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.3
3
PHI Score
3.2
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 16.2
18.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
49.5 / 59.3
42.9 / 57.1
Hits
23.7 / 23.5
16.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
13.8 / 22.7
25.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
26.3 / 32.3
22.0 / 40.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 5.1
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NYI
PHI
NYI
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
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