MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
46-34 | Road
125
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
44-36 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
PISTONS
100%
BUCKS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
27.1%
MIL By 8-14 points
19.6%
DET By 1-7 points
22.1%
DET By 8-14 points
11.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
119.42
MILWAUKEE
Detroit
116.77
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
121
MILWAUKEE
Detroit
108
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.7
D
Sim
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 236.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
MIL @ DET
111 - 137
Dec 6, 2025
MIL @ DET
112 - 124
Dec 3, 2025
DET @ MIL
109 - 113
Nov 22, 2025
DET @ MIL
129 - 116
Oct 9, 2025
DET @ MIL
111 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+25.5% more
Milwaukee: 9.4
vs
Detroit: 7.0
Assists (L5)
+12.7% more
Milwaukee: 27.8
vs
Detroit: 24.2
Rebounding (L5)
+8.5% more
Milwaukee: 43.2
vs
Detroit: 39.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
Milwaukee: 38.3%
vs
Detroit: 34.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
119.4
125
DET Score
116.8
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.1 / 38.3
46.2 / 43.6
Assists
24.2 / 27.8
30.0 / 30.0
Blocks
5.5 / 3.6
9.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
48.6 / 51.8
49.5 / 45.7
Free Throw %
75.7 / 70.3
50.0 / 81.5
Rebounding
39.5 / 43.2
42.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.0 / 9.4
1.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 11.3
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIL
DET
MIL
ML
55%
64-53
64%
61-35
49%
47-49
60%
49-32
ATS
53%
60-54-3
68%
65-31
49%
47-49
60%
49-32
TTL
60%
70-46-1
55%
53-43
100%
96-0
100%
81-0
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