PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
31-37-9 | Road
8
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
36-34-7 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Aleksei Kolosov
#35 | G@
GOALTENDER
Jonathan Quick
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Kolosov | None-None | 5.00 | 0.828 | -- |
| Jonathan Quick | None-None | 6.20 | 0.786 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.00 Ldr
GAA
6.20
0.828 Ldr
Save %
0.786
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
RANGERS
0%
FLYERS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
PHI By 1 goal
15.2%
PHI By 2-3 goals
14.0%
NYR By 1 goal
19.0%
NYR By 2-3 goals
23.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
2.12
PHILADELPHIA
New York
2.58
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
NYR @ PHI
6 - 2
Feb 26, 2026
PHI @ NYR
3 - 2
Jan 17, 2026
NYR @ PHI
6 - 3
Dec 20, 2025
PHI @ NYR
4 - 5
Apr 9, 2025
PHI @ NYR
8 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+33.2% more
New York: 32.5
vs
Philadelphia: 24.4
Hits (L5)
+19.5% more
New York: 25.1
vs
Philadelphia: 21.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.4%
New York: 57.5%
vs
Philadelphia: 51.2%
Takeaways (L5)
+22.9% more
Philadelphia: 4.6
vs
New York: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
2.1
8
NYR Score
2.6
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.5 / 14.6
7.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
57.5 / 51.2
53.7 / 46.3
Hits
25.1 / 21.0
22.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
1215.0 / 2071.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.5 / 24.4
29.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 4.6
9.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
PHI
NYR
PHI
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
ATS
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
TTL
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
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