MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
46-32 | Road
103
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
44-34 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
BUCKS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.4
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.4 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -3.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
27.3%
MIN By 8-14 points
20.8%
MIL By 1-7 points
21.0%
MIL By 8-14 points
10.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
118.58
MINNESOTA
Milwaukee
115.15
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Minnesota
118
MINNESOTA
Milwaukee
124
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.4
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 233.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
MIN @ MIL
139 - 106
Dec 21, 2025
MIL @ MIN
100 - 103
Apr 8, 2025
MIN @ MIL
103 - 110
Feb 12, 2025
MIL @ MIN
103 - 101
Feb 23, 2024
MIL @ MIN
112 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.6% more
Minnesota: 6.5
vs
Milwaukee: 4.1
Turnovers (L5)
+29.8% more
Minnesota: 14.9
vs
Milwaukee: 10.4
Rebounding (L5)
+8.7% more
Minnesota: 47.6
vs
Milwaukee: 43.4
Steals (L5)
+23.4% more
Milwaukee: 7.4
vs
Minnesota: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
118.6
103
MIL Score
115.2
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.6 / 35.0
33.3 / 32.5
Assists
28.7 / 26.8
27.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.1 / 6.5
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
52.0 / 49.6
47.6 / 46.1
Free Throw %
72.2 / 71.9
72.0 / 88.9
Rebounding
43.4 / 47.6
43.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.4 / 6.0
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 14.9
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
MIN
MIL
MIN
ML
64%
61-35
54%
63-53
60%
49-32
54%
50-43
ATS
68%
65-31
58%
67-49
60%
49-32
54%
50-43
TTL
55%
53-43
63%
72-43-1
100%
81-0
100%
93-0
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