TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
47-25-4 | Road
1
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
44-29-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Sergei Bobrovsky
#72 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | None-None | 1.00 | 0.944 | -- |
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00
GAA
--
0.944
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
TOR By 1 goal
12.1%
TOR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
FLA By 1 goal
19.7%
FLA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
2.35
TORONTO
Florida
3.35
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Florida
3
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 11, 2026
FLA @ TOR
6 - 2
Feb 26, 2026
TOR @ FLA
1 - 5
Jan 6, 2026
FLA @ TOR
1 - 4
Dec 2, 2025
TOR @ FLA
4 - 1
May 18, 2025
FLA @ TOR
6 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+107.3% more
Florida: 5.4
vs
Toronto: 2.6
Hits (L5)
+64.3% more
Florida: 40.0
vs
Toronto: 24.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.5% more
Florida: 32.7
vs
Toronto: 26.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+34.4% more
Toronto: 17.4
vs
Florida: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
2.4
1
FLA Score
3.4
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.4 / 17.4
11.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
49.4 / 56.3
69.0 / 31.0
Hits
40.0 / 24.3
43.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
1441.0 / 1366.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.7 / 26.7
37.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 2.6
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
TOR
FLA
TOR
ML
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
Contextual Game News
Barkov Eyes Late November Return; Marchand Could Be Back Soon fo…
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear