CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
46-26-4 | Road
0
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
34-36-6 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Mattias Samuelsson
#23 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 3.00 | 0.833 | -- |
| Mattias Samuelsson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00
GAA
--
0.833
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
SABRES
0%
HURRICANES
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
CAR By 1 goal
16.8%
CAR By 2-3 goals
17.1%
BUF By 1 goal
18.1%
BUF By 2-3 goals
20.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3.92
CAROLINA
Buffalo
4.07
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Hurricanes (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
BUF @ CAR
1 - 2
Nov 23, 2025
CAR @ BUF
1 - 4
Nov 8, 2025
BUF @ CAR
3 - 6
Apr 8, 2025
CAR @ BUF
0 - 3
Feb 27, 2025
BUF @ CAR
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+80.9% more
Buffalo: 15.2
vs
Carolina: 8.4
Hits (L5)
+32.9% more
Buffalo: 14.6
vs
Carolina: 11.0
Power Play % (L5)
+3.1%
Buffalo: 16.1%
vs
Carolina: 13.0%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.4% more
Carolina: 34.3
vs
Buffalo: 31.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.9
0
BUF Score
4.1
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.2 / 8.4
16.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
45.8 / 54.0
44.4 / 55.6
Hits
14.6 / 11.0
22.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
1609.0 / 1295.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.1 / 34.3
18.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
6.0 / 5.7
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
CAR
BUF
CAR
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
100%
4-0
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
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