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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

4-5  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sun, Apr 6 • 3:10 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

1-7  |  Home

12
Probable Pitchers
Jacob Wilson
STARTING PITCHER

Jacob Wilson

#5 | Shortstop
@
Mickey Moniak
STARTING PITCHER

Mickey Moniak

#22 | Left Field
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jacob Wilson None-None -- -- -- --
Mickey Moniak None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
0%
📊
ROCKIES
100%
ATHLETICS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Athletics)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

71.5%

Rockies Cover

28.5%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.4%

ATH By 3-4 runs

18.8%

COL By 1-2 runs

12.8%

COL By 3-4 runs

7.1%

AI Model Projected Score
5.14
ATHLETICS
2.87
COLORADO
Simulated Score
5
ATHLETICS
3
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Athletics Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Athletics Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Athletics (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.3
D
Sim Athletics (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 COL @ ATH 23 - 9
Jun 13, 2026 COL @ ATH 5 - 7
Jun 12, 2026 COL @ ATH 4 - 6
Apr 6, 2025 ATH @ COL 5 - 12
Apr 5, 2025 ATH @ COL 7 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.719
OPS
▲ .739
194 ▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +38.5% more
Athletics: 1.5 vs Colorado: 0.9
Strikeouts (L5) +28.5% more
Athletics: 8.7 vs Colorado: 6.2
Total Bases (L5) +13.2% more
Athletics: 15.5 vs Colorado: 13.5
Walks (L5) +9.1% more
Athletics: 4.7 vs Colorado: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 5.1 5
COL Score 2.9 12
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.9 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.4 / 9.2 14.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 1.5 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 6.2 / 8.7 13.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 13.5 / 15.5 22.0 / 15.0
Walks 4.3 / 4.7 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
ATH
COL
ATH
ML
60% 97-64
59% 95-67
55% 88-73
54% 87-74
ATS
60% 97-64
52% 84-78
52% 83-78
50% 81-80
TTL
60% 93-62-6
54% 84-73-5
50% 77-78-6
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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