MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
45-32 | Road
114
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
23-54 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
76ERS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.4
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.4 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -4.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
27.3%
MIN By 8-14 points
22.2%
PHI By 1-7 points
19.5%
PHI By 8-14 points
8.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
116.25
MINNESOTA
Philadelphia
111.87
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Minnesota
118
MINNESOTA
Philadelphia
124
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.4
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
MIN @ PHI
103 - 115
Feb 22, 2026
PHI @ MIN
135 - 108
Apr 5, 2025
MIN @ PHI
114 - 109
Mar 4, 2025
PHI @ MIN
112 - 126
Oct 11, 2024
PHI @ MIN
111 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+14.2% more
Minnesota: 47.9
vs
Philadelphia: 41.1
Blocks (L5)
+11.0% more
Minnesota: 6.3
vs
Philadelphia: 5.6
Assists (L5)
+10.7% more
Minnesota: 29.1
vs
Philadelphia: 26.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Minnesota: 36.3%
vs
Philadelphia: 29.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
116.3
114
PHI Score
111.9
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 36.3
34.3 / 32.4
Assists
26.0 / 29.1
26.0 / 22.0
Blocks
5.6 / 6.3
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 49.0
48.4 / 50.6
Free Throw %
76.7 / 71.6
60.0 / 72.4
Rebounding
41.1 / 47.9
34.0 / 47.0
Steals
8.4 / 6.5
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.0 / 14.8
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
MIN
PHI
MIN
ML
63%
69-40
54%
63-53
48%
45-48
54%
50-43
ATS
65%
71-38
58%
67-49
48%
45-48
54%
50-43
TTL
55%
60-49
63%
72-43-1
100%
93-0
100%
93-0
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