ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
3-5 | Road
7
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
1-6 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Wilson
#5 | Shortstop@
STARTING PITCHER
Jimmy Herget
#44 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Wilson | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Jimmy Herget | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
0.00
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
0%
ROCKIES
100%
ATHLETICS
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.4%
ATH By 3-4 runs
18.8%
COL By 1-2 runs
12.9%
COL By 3-4 runs
7.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
4.77
ATHLETICS
Colorado
2.54
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Athletics
5
ATHLETICS
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Athletics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Athletics (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.2
D
Sim
Athletics (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 14, 2026
COL @ ATH
23 - 9
Jun 13, 2026
COL @ ATH
5 - 7
Jun 12, 2026
COL @ ATH
4 - 6
Apr 6, 2025
ATH @ COL
5 - 12
Apr 5, 2025
ATH @ COL
7 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.322
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.719
OPS
▲
.739
194
▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+70.2% more
Athletics: 1.2
vs
Colorado: 0.4
Walks (L5)
+47.2% more
Athletics: 5.6
vs
Colorado: 3.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+40.1% more
Athletics: 10.5
vs
Colorado: 6.3
Total Bases (L5)
+11.7% more
Athletics: 13.2
vs
Colorado: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
4.8
7
COL Score
2.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.1 / 8.3
9.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 1.2
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
6.3 / 10.5
6.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
11.7 / 13.2
17.0 / 20.0
Walks
3.0 / 5.6
7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
Advantage
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
ATH
COL
ATH
ML
60%
97-64
59%
95-67
55%
88-73
54%
87-74
ATS
60%
97-64
52%
84-78
52%
83-78
50%
81-80
TTL
60%
93-62-6
54%
84-73-5
50%
77-78-6
42%
66-90-5
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