Home / MLB Projections MLB / Athletics @ Rockies ATH @ COL

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

2-5  |  Road

6
FINAL
Fri, Apr 4 • 4:10 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

1-5  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Jacob Wilson
STARTING PITCHER

Jacob Wilson

#5 | Shortstop
@
Jimmy Herget
STARTING PITCHER

Jimmy Herget

#44 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jacob Wilson None-None -- -- -- --
Jimmy Herget None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 0.00
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
0%
📊
ROCKIES
100%
ATHLETICS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Athletics)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

58.1%

Rockies Cover

41.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.5%

ATH By 3-4 runs

15.8%

COL By 1-2 runs

16.7%

COL By 3-4 runs

11.2%

AI Model Projected Score
3.28
ATHLETICS
2.46
COLORADO
Simulated Score
5
ATHLETICS
3
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Athletics Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Athletics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Athletics (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.8
D
Sim Athletics (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 COL @ ATH 23 - 9
Jun 13, 2026 COL @ ATH 5 - 7
Jun 12, 2026 COL @ ATH 4 - 6
Apr 6, 2025 ATH @ COL 5 - 12
Apr 5, 2025 ATH @ COL 7 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.719
OPS
▲ .739
194 ▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +58.3% more
Athletics: 1.3 vs Colorado: 0.6
Walks (L5) +45.8% more
Athletics: 5.4 vs Colorado: 2.9
Strikeouts (L5) +32.2% more
Athletics: 8.7 vs Colorado: 5.9
Total Bases (L5) +15.4% more
Athletics: 11.9 vs Colorado: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 3.3 6
COL Score 2.5 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.9 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.7 / 7.0 11.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 0.6 / 1.3 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 5.9 / 8.7 7.0 / 14.0
Total Bases 10.0 / 11.9 15.0 / 16.0
Walks 2.9 / 5.4 3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
62%MONEY38%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
ATH
COL
ATH
ML
60% 97-64
59% 95-67
55% 88-73
54% 87-74
ATS
60% 97-64
52% 84-78
52% 83-78
50% 81-80
TTL
60% 93-62-6
54% 84-73-5
50% 77-78-6
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
yahoo 1 hour, 18 minutes ago
Cloud Production Secrets: NBC Sports, MLB, NHL, and Warner Bros.…
sportsvideo 7 hours, 25 minutes ago
Yankees' Season on the Brink: Max Fried Takes Mound for Game 3 D…
yardbarker 1 day, 7 hours ago
Nick Martinez's Journey from Ejection at Yankee Stadium to ALCS …
yourvalley_net 1 day, 13 hours ago
Sam McDowell, Flamethrowing All-Star and Inspiration for Cheers'…
hollywoodreporter 1 day, 19 hours ago