MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
41-34 | Road
126
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
23-53 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
76ERS
100%
BUCKS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.4
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.4 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -11.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
21.0%
MIL By 8-14 points
27.3%
PHI By 1-7 points
8.7%
PHI By 8-14 points
2.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
115.42
MILWAUKEE
Philadelphia
103.98
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
118
MILWAUKEE
Philadelphia
115
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.4
D
Sim
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 219.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
MIL @ PHI
106 - 126
Jan 27, 2026
MIL @ PHI
122 - 139
Dec 5, 2025
PHI @ MIL
116 - 101
Nov 20, 2025
PHI @ MIL
123 - 114
Apr 3, 2025
MIL @ PHI
126 - 113
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.7%
Milwaukee: 44.2%
vs
Philadelphia: 28.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+11.1%
Milwaukee: 56.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 44.9%
Assists (L5)
+9.2% more
Milwaukee: 26.5
vs
Philadelphia: 24.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
Milwaukee: 79.2%
vs
Philadelphia: 75.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
115.4
126
PHI Score
104.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.5 / 44.2
30.8 / 51.6
Assists
24.0 / 26.5
30.0 / 32.0
Blocks
6.4 / 3.7
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 56.0
48.3 / 56.1
Free Throw %
75.5 / 79.2
78.9 / 66.7
Rebounding
41.7 / 34.0
40.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.6 / 5.7
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.5 / 15.1
15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
MIL
PHI
MIL
ML
63%
69-40
64%
61-35
48%
45-48
60%
49-32
ATS
65%
71-38
68%
65-31
48%
45-48
60%
49-32
TTL
55%
60-49
55%
53-43
100%
93-0
100%
81-0
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