CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
34-26-12 | Road
3
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
45-26-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brayden Pachal
#94 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Pachal | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 1.86 | 0.926 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.86
--
Save %
0.926
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
FLAMES
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
CGY By 1 goal
9.5%
CGY By 2-3 goals
6.4%
COL By 1 goal
19.3%
COL By 2-3 goals
33.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
2.37
CALGARY
Colorado
3.81
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.4
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
COL @ CGY
3 - 1
Apr 9, 2026
CGY @ COL
1 - 3
Mar 30, 2026
CGY @ COL
2 - 9
Mar 31, 2025
CGY @ COL
3 - 2
Mar 14, 2025
COL @ CGY
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+42.9% more
Colorado: 5.6
vs
Calgary: 3.9
Power Play % (L5)
+26.6%
Colorado: 41.6%
vs
Calgary: 15.0%
Faceoff % (L5)
+11.3%
Colorado: 54.9%
vs
Calgary: 43.6%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.5% more
Calgary: 16.8
vs
Colorado: 13.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.4
3
COL Score
3.8
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.7 / 16.8
18.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
54.9 / 43.6
58.5 / 41.5
Hits
19.9 / 23.2
22.0 / 47.0
Power Play %
4158.0 / 1496.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.8 / 34.5
30.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
5.6 / 3.9
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
CGY
COL
CGY
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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