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DALLAS

STARSDAL

48-21-4  |  Road

3
FINAL
Mon, Mar 31 • 10:00 PM ET
Climate Pledge Arena
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

31-37-6  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Casey DeSmith
GOALTENDER

Casey DeSmith

#1 | Goaltender
@
Philipp Grubauer
GOALTENDER

Philipp Grubauer

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Casey DeSmith None-None 1.00 0.972 --
Philipp Grubauer None-None 2.07 0.933 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 2.07
0.972 Ldr Save % 0.933
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
📊
KRAKEN
100%
STARS --
KRAKEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Dallas)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 KrakenSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

76.1%

Kraken Cover

23.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

DAL By 1 goal

19.3%

DAL By 2-3 goals

33.5%

SEA By 1 goal

9.6%

SEA By 2-3 goals

6.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.6
DALLAS
2.18
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
3
DALLAS
2
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Stars (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.4
D
Sim Stars (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 25, 2026 SEA @ DAL 1 - 4
Nov 26, 2025 DAL @ SEA 3 - 2
Nov 9, 2025 SEA @ DAL 1 - 2
Mar 31, 2025 DAL @ SEA 3 - 1
Mar 29, 2025 DAL @ SEA 5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +5.9%
Dallas: 24.4% vs Seattle: 18.5%
Faceoff % (L5) +3.3%
Dallas: 52.2% vs Seattle: 48.9%
Shots on Goal (L5) +51.0% more
Seattle: 33.5 vs Dallas: 22.2
Takeaways (L5) +45.5% more
Seattle: 6.2 vs Dallas: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 3.6 3
SEA Score 2.2 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 18.6 / 17.9 13.0 / 12.0
Faceoff % 48.9 / 52.2 46.4 / 53.6
Hits 18.3 / 14.4 29.0 / 11.0
Power Play % 1850.0 / 2440.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 33.5 / 22.2 36.0 / 31.0
Takeaways 6.2 / 4.3 5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
65%MONEY35%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
97%MONEY3%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
70%MONEY30%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
DAL
SEA
DAL
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
ATS
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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