CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
34-26-11 | Road
2
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
41-26-5 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Walman
#96 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 2.88 | 0.897 | -- |
| Jake Walman | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.88
GAA
--
0.897
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
OILERS
100%
FLAMES
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
CGY By 1 goal
19.6%
CGY By 2-3 goals
26.6%
EDM By 1 goal
13.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
11.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
3.25
CALGARY
Edmonton
2.53
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flames (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
EDM @ CGY
3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025
EDM @ CGY
2 - 3
Dec 23, 2025
CGY @ EDM
1 - 5
Oct 8, 2025
CGY @ EDM
4 - 3
Mar 29, 2025
CGY @ EDM
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.9% more
Calgary: 14.7
vs
Edmonton: 11.3
Hits (L5)
+18.6% more
Calgary: 25.2
vs
Edmonton: 20.5
Power Play % (L5)
+6.8%
Calgary: 22.4%
vs
Edmonton: 15.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+14.2% more
Edmonton: 4.4
vs
Calgary: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
3.3
2
EDM Score
2.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.3 / 14.7
19.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
48.3 / 43.9
57.1 / 42.9
Hits
20.5 / 25.2
18.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
1563.0 / 2244.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
35.5 / 37.8
29.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 3.9
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
CGY
EDM
CGY
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
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