MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
40-31 | Road
117
DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
45-28 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
NUGGETS
0%
BUCKS
--
NUGGETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Denver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)
MIL By 1-7 points
25.2%
MIL By 8-14 points
15.1%
DEN By 1-7 points
25.5%
DEN By 8-14 points
15.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
113.36
MILWAUKEE
Denver
113.48
DENVER
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
118
MILWAUKEE
Denver
124
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nuggets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.1
D
Sim
Nuggets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 23, 2026
DEN @ MIL
102 - 100
Jan 11, 2026
MIL @ DEN
104 - 108
Mar 26, 2025
MIL @ DEN
117 - 127
Feb 27, 2025
DEN @ MIL
112 - 121
Feb 12, 2024
DEN @ MIL
95 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+111.3% more
Denver: 5.8
vs
Milwaukee: 2.8
Turnovers (L5)
+50.3% more
Denver: 14.2
vs
Milwaukee: 9.5
Assists (L5)
+28.5% more
Denver: 29.9
vs
Milwaukee: 23.3
Rebounding (L5)
+15.0% more
Denver: 45.0
vs
Milwaukee: 39.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
113.4
117
DEN Score
113.5
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 35.1
43.2 / 43.2
Assists
29.9 / 23.3
36.0 / 30.0
Blocks
5.8 / 2.8
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.8 / 46.8
54.4 / 51.7
Free Throw %
72.1 / 72.4
59.1 / 69.2
Rebounding
45.0 / 39.1
46.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.0 / 9.5
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 9.5
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
MIL
DEN
MIL
ML
54%
57-48
64%
61-35
55%
47-39
60%
49-32
ATS
63%
65-38-2
68%
65-31
55%
47-39
60%
49-32
TTL
54%
56-48-1
55%
53-43
100%
86-0
100%
81-0
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