TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
42-24-3 | Road
2
NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
25-35-8 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Nick Blankenburg
#3 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Juuse Saros
#74 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Blankenburg | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Juuse Saros | None-None | 2.00 | 0.923 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.00
--
Save %
0.923
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
PREDATORS
100%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
PREDATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around TOR -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1 goal
19.6%
TOR By 2-3 goals
26.7%
NSH By 1 goal
13.7%
NSH By 2-3 goals
11.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
2.95
TORONTO
Nashville
2.22
NASHVILLE
Simulated Score
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Nashville
3
NASHVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
NSH @ TOR
4 - 5
Dec 20, 2025
TOR @ NSH
3 - 5
Oct 14, 2025
NSH @ TOR
4 - 7
Mar 22, 2025
TOR @ NSH
2 - 5
Dec 4, 2024
NSH @ TOR
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+19.3%
Toronto: 43.3%
vs
Nashville: 24.0%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.3% more
Toronto: 18.8
vs
Nashville: 15.4
Hits (L5)
+13.8% more
Toronto: 25.4
vs
Nashville: 21.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.7%
Toronto: 57.8%
vs
Nashville: 50.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
3.0
2
NSH Score
2.2
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.4 / 18.8
11.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
50.2 / 57.8
49.2 / 50.8
Hits
21.9 / 25.4
23.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
24.0 / 43.3
33.3 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
28.6 / 26.7
32.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
6.3 / 4.9
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NSH
TOR
NSH
TOR
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-3
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
TTL
100%
3-0
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
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