Home / NBA Projections NBA / Celtics @ Nets BOS @ BKN

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

48-19  |  Road

115
FINAL
Sat, Mar 15 • 6:00 PM ET
Barclays Center
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

22-44  |  Home

113
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
📊
NETS
100%
CELTICS --
NETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.7
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.7 points (Boston)
CelticsBOS (-3.5) 0 NetsBKN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Celtics Cover

89.8%

Nets Cover

10.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -12.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1-7 points

19.0%

BOS By 8-14 points

27.0%

BKN By 1-7 points

7.2%

BKN By 8-14 points

1.8%

AI Model Projected Score
116.5
BOSTON
103.79
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
118
BOSTON
112
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Celtics Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Celtics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Celtics (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.7
D
Sim Celtics (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 220.3
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 27, 2026 BKN @ BOS 111 - 148
Jan 23, 2026 BOS @ BKN 130 - 126
Nov 21, 2025 BKN @ BOS 113 - 105
Nov 18, 2025 BOS @ BKN 113 - 99
Mar 18, 2025 BKN @ BOS 96 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +12.5%
Boston: 86.7% vs Brooklyn: 74.2%
Turnovers (L5) +8.9% more
Boston: 12.6 vs Brooklyn: 11.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
Boston: 36.2% vs Brooklyn: 34.3%
Assists (L5) +20.0% more
Brooklyn: 28.0 vs Boston: 23.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 116.5 115
BKN Score 103.8 113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 36.2 43.5 / 34.2
Assists 28.0 / 23.4 34.0 / 29.0
Blocks 5.8 / 5.4 3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 44.7 46.7 / 52.4
Free Throw % 74.2 / 86.7 69.2 / 73.7
Rebounding 43.3 / 43.0 45.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.9 / 8.5 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 12.6 9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS Advantage
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
BOS
BKN
BOS
ML
53% 50-45
57% 61-46
59% 48-34
53% 47-41
ATS
52% 48-44-3
59% 61-43-3
59% 48-34
53% 47-41
TTL
57% 54-41
56% 60-47
100% 82-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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