CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
28-38 | Road
114
HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
42-25 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
ROCKETS
0%
BULLS
--
ROCKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.6
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.6 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -7.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
CHI By 1-7 points
14.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
5.2%
HOU By 1-7 points
25.7%
HOU By 8-14 points
25.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
114.27
CHICAGO
Houston
121.91
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Chicago
118
CHICAGO
Houston
105
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rockets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rockets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.6
D
Sim
Bulls (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 236.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 23, 2026
HOU @ CHI
124 - 132
Jan 13, 2026
CHI @ HOU
113 - 119
Mar 15, 2025
CHI @ HOU
114 - 117
Nov 17, 2024
HOU @ CHI
143 - 107
Mar 21, 2024
CHI @ HOU
117 - 127
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+10.2% more
Houston: 54.4
vs
Chicago: 49.4
Steals (L5)
+9.9% more
Houston: 7.1
vs
Chicago: 6.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.0%
Houston: 39.6%
vs
Chicago: 31.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.8%
Chicago: 83.2%
vs
Houston: 74.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
114.3
114
HOU Score
121.9
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.6 / 31.7
31.8 / 36.8
Assists
25.6 / 27.0
24.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.9
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 47.1
44.9 / 46.2
Free Throw %
74.4 / 83.2
57.7 / 87.5
Rebounding
54.4 / 49.4
54.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.1 / 6.4
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 12.4
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
CHI
HOU
CHI
ML
61%
69-44
56%
54-42
59%
51-35
57%
46-35
ATS
62%
70-43
65%
62-33-1
59%
51-35
57%
46-35
TTL
51%
58-55
58%
56-40
100%
86-0
100%
81-0
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